Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 38.950497 46.081560 53.928544 63.174008 73.737597 85.398388 99.210882
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 29.713531 39.484522 51.291868 66.475474 85.333732 107.827283 136.511273
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 24.230256 35.238027 49.526088 69.135105 95.008206 127.607137 171.355890
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 19.822664 31.195316 46.896559 69.662651 101.243702 142.846946 201.008181
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.856226 26.890768 43.030576 67.644016 103.365648 152.322972 223.260563
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.405584 24.316312 41.115172 67.888844 108.285754 165.541699 251.033941
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.642224 22.475218 39.957117 68.950739 114.237441 180.348692 281.680646
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.095964 18.852142 35.452861 64.228772 110.911353 181.275410 292.194638
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.143358 17.857515 35.089295 65.999143 117.618520 197.330514 325.658836
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.967646 16.229367 33.398423 65.316991 120.241722 207.186401 350.184646
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.644292 16.212182 34.554990 69.587937 131.235588 230.630718 396.699447
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.401290 14.074051 31.501660 66.052169 128.742502 232.371228 409.229762
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.888669 13.519215 31.608295 68.673021 137.751567 254.435398 457.247629
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.484363 13.152089 32.083010 72.128806 148.700499 280.721274 514.179001
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.071948 12.672451 32.245001 74.970650 158.737900 306.065427 570.952376
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.540219 11.763337 31.335916 75.535037 164.538746 324.407831 616.911715
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.910982 10.425635 29.242337 73.371838 164.894741 333.119929 646.813796
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.525611 9.665783 28.354154 73.634215 169.934563 350.423528 692.400676
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.239576 9.123458 27.898564 74.772152 176.771290 371.339600 745.323553
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.718913 7.668029 24.880106 69.710637 170.440285 367.342787 753.379586
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.558480 7.375010 24.852051 71.608742 178.795258 391.526754 813.728142
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.325631 6.744264 23.789118 70.877435 181.428361 404.807793 854.556576
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.288519 6.849499 24.829001 75.454894 195.991949 442.121919 941.846937